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Forecasting Long Term ED Demand
Forecasting Long Term Emergency Department Demand
Data
Data Sources
Exploration
Linear Models
Mixed Linear Model
Tree-based models
Separating Capacity and Utility
Model Development
Stacked Architecture
Developing the Capacity Model
Developing the Population Health Model
Combined Population Health and Service Capacity Model
Forecasting Future ED Demand
Predicting attendances next year
Forecasting Future ED Demand
Future demand at CCG level
Imputation
Imputing missing data
KNN imputation
Model performance with imputed data
Additional analysis
Outlier analysis
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Imputing missing data
Imputing missing data
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